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Red34
11611.3
907225.3
832615.7
Blue34
237715.4
37939.4
190814.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45290204060803434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.3
Auto9.9
Teleop14.7
End0.7
red by 9.9
2377
#16
15.4
Auto6.7
Teleop7.3
End1.3
Second
8326
#12
15.7
Auto7.3
Teleop6.4
End2.1
red by 0.8
14.9
Auto5.9
Teleop7.5
End1.5
Third
116
#17
11.3
Auto4.7
Teleop6.2
End0.4
red by 1.9
3793
#32
9.4
Auto3.9
Teleop5.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed