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Red53
162933.9
584110.8
29005.2
Blue33
29144.5
374815.2
77707.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions502204060805333

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.90.8
27.928.7
Auto13.9
Teleop18.6
End1.4
red by 18.7
3748
#15
15.20.6
14.213.6
Auto6.2
Teleop7.5
End1.4
Second
5841
#14
10.81.3
7.08.3
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End0.5
red by 3.6
7770
#28
7.20.6
4.43.8
Auto3.1
Teleop3.1
End1.1
Third
2900
#25
5.21.3
6.67.9
Auto3.1
Teleop1.1
End1.0
red by 0.7
2914
#29
4.50.6
4.54.0
Auto0.7
Teleop2.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed