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Red39
14188.8
86229.8
237715.4
Blue63
162933.9
632616.3
190814.9
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256804060801001203963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2377
#16
15.40.5
8.89.3
Auto6.7
Teleop7.3
End1.3
blue by 18.5
33.90.5
28.729.1
Auto13.9
Teleop18.6
End1.4
Second
8622
#33
9.80.5
8.08.5
Auto6.0
Teleop2.8
End1.0
blue by 6.4
6326
#19
16.30.8
16.016.7
Auto7.4
Teleop6.8
End2.1
Third
1418
#22
8.80.5
10.911.4
Auto1.1
Teleop6.1
End1.6
blue by 6.1
14.90.5
11.512.0
Auto5.9
Teleop7.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed