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Red52
68622.5
88822.3
511517.9
Blue44
445617.5
584110.8
37939.4
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions553102040801005244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#11
22.50.5
15.816.3
Auto11.3
Teleop10.7
End0.4
red by 4.9
17.50.9
14.615.5
Auto9.4
Teleop5.7
End2.5
Second
888
#10
22.30.5
15.916.5
Auto10.0
Teleop10.9
End1.4
red by 11.5
5841
#14
10.81.5
8.39.7
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End0.5
Third
17.90.5
15.315.9
Auto7.5
Teleop9.0
End1.3
red by 8.5
3793
#32
9.41.5
8.09.5
Auto3.9
Teleop5.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed