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Red6
172727.1
85143.6
872612.5
Blue5
14466.9
29144.5
44642.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions501202040608065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.13.8
21.317.5
Auto11.6
Teleop14.7
End0.8
red by 20.2
1446
#27
6.91.2
8.16.9
Auto2.4
Teleop4.0
End0.5
Second
8726
#13
12.53.8
12.58.7
Auto5.6
Teleop5.8
End1.1
red by 8.1
2914
#29
4.51.2
4.02.8
Auto0.7
Teleop2.8
End1.0
Third
8514
#34
3.63.8
6.62.7
Auto3.6
Teleop-0.5
End0.4
red by 0.9
4464
#36
2.61.2
3.62.4
Auto0.1
Teleop1.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed