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Red41
61415.7
37939.4
14466.9
Blue32
68622.5
138913.5
584110.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334301020506070804132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
614
#3
15.70.9
14.515.4
Auto8.4
Teleop6.0
End1.3
blue by 6.8
686
#11
22.50.6
16.315.7
Auto11.3
Teleop10.7
End0.4
Second
3793
#32
9.40.9
9.510.4
Auto3.9
Teleop5.0
End0.6
blue by 4.1
1389
#18
13.50.6
11.811.1
Auto4.4
Teleop7.4
End1.7
Third
1446
#27
6.90.9
6.97.8
Auto2.4
Teleop4.0
End0.5
blue by 3.9
5841
#14
10.80.6
9.79.1
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed