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Red24
52435.3
77707.2
511517.9
Blue23
872612.5
253710.8
11119.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2531010204050602423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.90.1
15.915.8
Auto7.5
Teleop9.0
End1.3
red by 5.4
8726
#13
12.50.4
8.78.3
Auto5.6
Teleop5.8
End1.1
Second
7770
#28
7.20.1
3.33.2
Auto3.1
Teleop3.1
End1.1
blue by 3.5
2537
#26
10.80.4
10.710.3
Auto4.6
Teleop4.1
End2.1
Third
5243
#30
5.30.1
4.03.8
Auto1.7
Teleop3.0
End0.6
blue by 4.0
1111
#31
9.20.4
7.67.1
Auto4.8
Teleop3.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed