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Red57
253710.8
907225.3
14466.9
Blue41
632616.3
374815.2
832615.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3341010205060705741

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.32.3
9.712.0
Auto9.9
Teleop14.7
End0.7
red by 9.0
6326
#19
16.30.5
12.913.4
Auto7.4
Teleop6.8
End2.1
Second
2537
#26
10.82.3
12.314.7
Auto4.6
Teleop4.1
End2.1
blue by 5.0
8326
#12
15.70.3
13.413.7
Auto7.3
Teleop6.4
End2.1
Third
1446
#27DQ
6.92.3
8.911.2
Auto2.4
Teleop4.0
End0.5
blue by 8.3
3748
#15
15.20.5
10.210.7
Auto6.2
Teleop7.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed