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Red18
37939.4
77707.2
138913.5
Blue64
88822.3
190814.9
172727.1
20%Model gave it80%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36481020304060701864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1389
#18
13.51.8
12.610.8
Auto4.4
Teleop7.4
End1.7
blue by 13.6
27.12.5
17.319.8
Auto11.6
Teleop14.7
End0.8
Second
3793
#32
9.41.8
10.48.6
Auto3.9
Teleop5.0
End0.6
blue by 12.8
888
#10
22.32.5
13.716.1
Auto10.0
Teleop10.9
End1.4
Third
7770
#28
7.21.8
11.19.4
Auto3.1
Teleop3.1
End1.1
blue by 7.6
14.91.5
10.712.2
Auto5.9
Teleop7.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed