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Red31
445617.5
28499.4
85143.6
Blue35
29005.2
454119.8
511517.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3340010205060703135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.50.0
12.012.0
Auto9.4
Teleop5.7
End2.5
blue by 2.2
19.80.3
14.414.1
Auto7.1
Teleop11.4
End1.3
Second
2849
#24
9.40.0
11.111.1
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End1.0
blue by 8.5
17.90.3
12.412.1
Auto7.5
Teleop9.0
End1.3
Third
8514
#34
3.60.0
7.87.8
Auto3.6
Teleop-0.5
End0.4
blue by 1.6
2900
#25DQ
5.20.3
8.58.3
Auto3.1
Teleop1.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed