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Red31
77707.2
68622.5
253710.8
Blue69
511517.9
162933.9
237715.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27660204060801003169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#11
22.50.0
15.715.7
Auto11.3
Teleop10.7
End0.4
blue by 11.4
33.90.9
29.730.6
Auto13.9
Teleop18.6
End1.4
Second
2537
#26
10.80.0
10.310.2
Auto4.6
Teleop4.1
End2.1
blue by 7.2
17.91.4
15.817.2
Auto7.5
Teleop9.0
End1.3
Third
7770
#28
7.20.0
3.23.2
Auto3.1
Teleop3.1
End1.1
blue by 8.1
2377
#16
15.41.5
9.711.2
Auto6.7
Teleop7.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed59%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed