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Red47
138913.5
190814.9
872612.5
Blue1
78862.5
11119.2
29005.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3890203050607080471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.90.9
11.512.5
Auto5.9
Teleop7.5
End1.5
red by 5.7
1111
#31
9.21.1
7.16.0
Auto4.8
Teleop3.1
End1.3
Second
1389
#18
13.51.5
11.112.6
Auto4.4
Teleop7.4
End1.7
red by 8.3
2900
#25
5.21.1
4.23.2
Auto3.1
Teleop1.1
End1.0
Third
8726
#13
12.51.5
8.39.7
Auto5.6
Teleop5.8
End1.1
red by 10.0
7886
#23
2.51.1
0.0-1.0
Auto1.2
Teleop1.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed