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Red29
454119.8
46388.7
28499.4
Blue88
172727.1
907225.3
52435.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36430102030506070802988

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.5
18.918.4
Auto7.1
Teleop11.4
End1.3
blue by 7.4
27.13.4
16.419.8
Auto11.6
Teleop14.7
End0.8
Second
2849
#24
9.40.5
8.07.5
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End1.0
blue by 15.9
25.33.6
18.221.8
Auto9.9
Teleop14.7
End0.7
Third
4638
#35
8.70.5
6.96.4
Auto3.0
Teleop4.5
End1.2
red by 3.4
5243
#30
5.33.4
3.87.2
Auto1.7
Teleop3.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed50%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed