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Red25
632616.3
17197.8
29144.5
Blue58
86229.8
445617.5
219913.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294001020506070802558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6326
#19
16.30.3
15.415.2
Auto7.4
Teleop6.8
End2.1
blue by 1.3
17.51.0
15.116.0
Auto9.4
Teleop5.7
End2.5
Second
1719
#21
7.80.3
9.18.8
Auto3.9
Teleop2.6
End1.3
blue by 6.1
13.91.0
9.810.7
Auto4.5
Teleop8.4
End1.0
Third
2914
#29
4.50.3
3.12.8
Auto0.7
Teleop2.8
End1.0
blue by 5.3
8622
#33
9.81.5
9.811.3
Auto6.0
Teleop2.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed