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Red25
14188.8
29005.2
253710.8
Blue40
68622.5
190814.9
78862.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25310102040506070802540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2537
#26
10.80.2
10.210.4
Auto4.6
Teleop4.1
End2.1
blue by 11.7
686
#11
22.51.0
15.716.7
Auto11.3
Teleop10.7
End0.4
Second
1418
#22
8.80.2
9.69.8
Auto1.1
Teleop6.1
End1.6
blue by 6.1
14.90.7
12.513.2
Auto5.9
Teleop7.5
End1.5
Third
2900
#25
5.20.2
3.23.4
Auto3.1
Teleop1.1
End1.0
red by 2.7
7886
#23
2.51.0
-1.00.0
Auto1.2
Teleop1.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed