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Red19
44642.6
237715.4
62137.4
Blue28
11611.3
138913.5
14466.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2033010304050601928

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2377
#16
15.40.1
11.211.1
Auto6.7
Teleop7.3
End1.3
red by 1.9
1389
#18
13.50.1
12.612.5
Auto4.4
Teleop7.4
End1.7
Second
6213
#20
7.40.1
6.86.8
Auto3.4
Teleop3.6
End0.5
blue by 3.9
116
#17
11.30.1
9.29.1
Auto4.7
Teleop6.2
End0.4
Third
4464
#36
2.60.1
1.81.7
Auto0.1
Teleop1.8
End0.7
blue by 4.3
1446
#27
6.90.1
6.86.8
Auto2.4
Teleop4.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed