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Red47
454119.8
77707.2
88822.3
Blue52
632616.3
219913.9
61415.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444602060801004752

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#10
22.30.7
18.419.0
Auto10.0
Teleop10.9
End1.4
red by 6.0
6326
#19
16.31.0
15.216.2
Auto7.4
Teleop6.8
End2.1
Second
19.80.7
18.419.1
Auto7.1
Teleop11.4
End1.3
red by 4.1
614
#3
15.71.0
15.516.5
Auto8.4
Teleop6.0
End1.3
Third
7770
#28
7.20.7
3.23.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.1
End1.1
blue by 6.7
13.90.7
10.711.4
Auto4.5
Teleop8.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed