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Red44
52435.3
162933.9
86229.8
Blue53
511517.9
832615.7
445617.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5552204060801001204453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.90.5
30.630.1
Auto13.9
Teleop18.6
End1.4
red by 16.0
17.90.6
17.217.8
Auto7.5
Teleop9.0
End1.3
Second
8622
#33
9.80.7
11.310.6
Auto6.0
Teleop2.8
End1.0
blue by 7.7
17.50.4
16.016.4
Auto9.4
Teleop5.7
End2.5
Third
5243
#30
5.30.7
7.26.5
Auto1.7
Teleop3.0
End0.6
blue by 10.5
8326
#12
15.70.4
13.914.3
Auto7.3
Teleop6.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed