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Red38
85143.6
17197.8
374815.2
Blue12
46388.7
29144.5
37939.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292104060803812

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3748
#15
15.21.2
14.715.9
Auto6.2
Teleop7.5
End1.4
red by 5.8
3793
#32
9.40.9
11.010.1
Auto3.9
Teleop5.0
End0.6
Second
1719
#21
7.81.2
8.810.0
Auto3.9
Teleop2.6
End1.3
blue by 0.8
4638
#35
8.70.8
6.45.6
Auto3.0
Teleop4.5
End1.2
Third
8514
#34
3.61.2
2.13.3
Auto3.6
Teleop-0.5
End0.4
blue by 0.9
2914
#29
4.50.8
2.82.1
Auto0.7
Teleop2.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed