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Red76
68622.5
237715.4
29005.2
Blue55
172727.1
44642.6
14188.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3437102030405060707655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#11
22.51.8
16.718.5
Auto11.3
Teleop10.7
End0.4
blue by 4.7
27.11.1
21.522.6
Auto11.6
Teleop14.7
End0.8
Second
2377
#16
15.41.9
11.113.0
Auto6.7
Teleop7.3
End1.3
red by 6.6
1418
#22
8.81.1
9.810.9
Auto1.1
Teleop6.1
End1.6
Third
2900
#25
5.21.8
3.45.1
Auto3.1
Teleop1.1
End1.0
red by 2.6
4464
#36
2.61.1
1.72.8
Auto0.1
Teleop1.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed