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Red52
138913.5
61415.7
907225.3
Blue61
872612.5
88822.3
219913.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5842020801001205261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.2
21.421.5
Auto9.9
Teleop14.7
End0.7
red by 3.0
888
#10
22.31.9
19.020.9
Auto10.0
Teleop10.9
End1.4
Second
614
#3
15.70.1
16.516.6
Auto8.4
Teleop6.0
End1.3
red by 1.8
13.91.4
11.412.9
Auto4.5
Teleop8.4
End1.0
Third
1389
#18
13.50.1
12.512.7
Auto4.4
Teleop7.4
End1.7
red by 1.0
8726
#13
12.51.9
9.311.2
Auto5.6
Teleop5.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed