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Red2
78862.5
14466.9
584110.8
Blue39
190814.9
86229.8
454119.8
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1452020406080100239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5841
#14
10.81.4
10.99.5
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End0.5
blue by 8.9
19.80.5
19.118.6
Auto7.1
Teleop11.4
End1.3
Second
1446
#27
6.91.4
6.85.4
Auto2.4
Teleop4.0
End0.5
blue by 8.0
14.90.4
13.212.8
Auto5.9
Teleop7.5
End1.5
Third
7886
#23
2.51.4
0.0-1.4
Auto1.2
Teleop1.1
End0.2
blue by 7.3
8622
#33
9.80.5
10.610.1
Auto6.0
Teleop2.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed