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Red32
37939.4
253710.8
374815.2
Blue35
11119.2
445617.5
62137.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413302060803235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3748
#15
15.20.4
15.915.5
Auto6.2
Teleop7.5
End1.4
blue by 2.3
17.50.3
16.416.7
Auto9.4
Teleop5.7
End2.5
Second
2537
#26
10.80.4
10.410.0
Auto4.6
Teleop4.1
End2.1
red by 1.5
1111
#31
9.20.4
7.88.1
Auto4.8
Teleop3.1
End1.3
Third
3793
#32
9.40.4
10.19.7
Auto3.9
Teleop5.0
End0.6
red by 2.0
6213
#20
7.40.4
6.87.1
Auto3.4
Teleop3.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed