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Red64
907225.3
445617.5
77707.2
Blue11
85143.6
52435.3
11119.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54150204060801006411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.31.6
21.923.5
Auto9.9
Teleop14.7
End0.7
red by 16.1
1111
#31
9.20.5
8.27.7
Auto4.8
Teleop3.1
End1.3
Second
17.51.3
16.718.0
Auto9.4
Teleop5.7
End2.5
red by 12.3
5243
#30
5.30.5
5.85.3
Auto1.7
Teleop3.0
End0.6
Third
7770
#28
7.21.6
5.37.0
Auto3.1
Teleop3.1
End1.1
red by 3.7
8514
#34
3.60.5
4.13.6
Auto3.6
Teleop-0.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsEarned3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed