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Red43
190814.9
62137.4
46388.7
Blue53
584110.8
872612.5
632616.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264202060801004353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.91.2
13.314.4
Auto5.9
Teleop7.5
End1.5
blue by 1.4
6326
#19
16.31.4
15.416.8
Auto7.4
Teleop6.8
End2.1
Second
4638
#35
8.71.3
5.87.1
Auto3.0
Teleop4.5
End1.2
blue by 3.9
8726
#13
12.51.2
11.212.5
Auto5.6
Teleop5.8
End1.1
Third
6213
#20
7.41.3
6.47.7
Auto3.4
Teleop3.6
End0.5
blue by 3.4
5841
#14
10.81.2
9.610.8
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed