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Red37
52657.0
910117.0
80238.5
Blue53
905512.0
568735.6
97328.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40401020305060703753

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9101
#12
17.00.3
14.914.7
Auto7.2
Teleop9.2
End0.7
blue by 18.5
35.60.6
24.825.5
Auto9.0
Teleop24.9
End1.7
Second
8023
#25
8.50.2
8.58.3
Auto2.8
Teleop4.9
End0.8
blue by 3.4
9055
#16
12.00.7
9.410.1
Auto6.4
Teleop4.9
End0.7
Third
5265
#27
7.00.2
5.95.7
Auto3.9
Teleop2.7
End0.4
blue by 1.7
9732
#21
8.71.4
8.810.2
Auto5.5
Teleop3.2
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsMissed