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Red23
615320.5
34517.6
447316.9
Blue103
5829.4
490613.4
16627.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455820408010023103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.51.4
15.413.9
Auto6.7
Teleop13.2
End0.7
blue by 8.9
58
#4
29.41.5
21.923.4
Auto13.2
Teleop14.5
End1.7
Second
4473
#18
16.91.4
16.314.8
Auto5.8
Teleop9.6
End1.5
blue by 10.1
166
#7
27.12.4
13.916.3
Auto8.1
Teleop16.9
End2.1
Third
3451
#28
7.62.4
10.98.5
Auto1.8
Teleop4.0
End1.8
blue by 5.8
4906
#20
13.41.8
15.417.2
Auto3.8
Teleop7.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed