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Red20
252311.6
61618.8
52657.0
Blue5
84218.5
79074.4
68956.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24330406080100205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2523
#13
11.60.8
9.38.4
Auto4.6
Teleop5.5
End1.4
red by 3.0
8421
#24
8.52.6
10.27.6
Auto4.3
Teleop2.9
End1.3
Second
6161
#19
8.80.8
7.87.0
Auto0.4
Teleop5.8
End2.6
red by 1.9
6895
#17
6.92.6
7.44.8
Auto1.4
Teleop3.8
End1.7
Third
5265
#27
7.00.5
5.44.9
Auto3.9
Teleop2.7
End0.4
red by 2.6
7907
#29
4.42.6
10.88.2
Auto1.7
Teleop1.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed