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Red36
909612.0
905512.0
172915.2
Blue50
17212.6
490613.4
27126.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28470204060801003650

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1729
#14
15.20.9
9.410.3
Auto7.1
Teleop7.3
End0.8
red by 1.8
4906
#20
13.40.3
17.216.8
Auto3.8
Teleop7.6
End2.0
Second
9096
#23
12.00.9
8.49.3
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End1.1
blue by 0.6
172
#22
12.60.6
10.910.3
Auto5.5
Teleop5.5
End1.7
Third
9055
#16
12.00.5
10.110.7
Auto6.4
Teleop4.9
End0.7
red by 5.7
2712
#26
6.20.6
12.111.5
Auto1.8
Teleop4.5
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed