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Red44
841018.3
5829.4
545917.2
Blue106
632947.0
80238.5
568735.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4885020406010012014016044106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#4
29.40.3
23.022.8
Auto13.2
Teleop14.5
End1.7
blue by 17.6
47.01.5
39.841.3
Auto14.2
Teleop29.7
End3.2
Second
8410
#11
18.30.4
11.310.8
Auto6.6
Teleop8.9
End2.8
blue by 17.3
35.61.5
25.627.1
Auto9.0
Teleop24.9
End1.7
Third
5459
#10
17.20.4
13.713.3
Auto8.1
Teleop8.2
End0.9
red by 8.6
8023
#25
8.51.5
6.88.2
Auto2.8
Teleop4.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsMissed70%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsEarned