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Red25
910117.0
447316.9
97328.7
Blue61
456427.2
34517.6
252311.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423401001502002561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9101
#12
17.01.3
14.913.6
Auto7.2
Teleop9.2
End0.7
blue by 10.1
27.23.3
17.120.4
Auto11.9
Teleop12.3
End3.0
Second
4473
#18
16.90.8
14.513.8
Auto5.8
Teleop9.6
End1.5
red by 5.4
2523
#13
11.63.3
8.411.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.5
End1.4
Third
9732
#21
8.71.3
7.36.0
Auto5.5
Teleop3.2
End-0.0
red by 1.1
3451
#28
7.63.3
5.99.2
Auto1.8
Teleop4.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed