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Red51
16627.1
84218.5
252311.6
Blue64
110021.1
905512.0
447316.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41461020305060705164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#7
27.11.4
19.621.1
Auto8.1
Teleop16.9
End2.1
red by 6.0
1100
#15
21.10.9
16.817.6
Auto7.5
Teleop11.6
End2.0
Second
2523
#13
11.61.4
11.713.1
Auto4.6
Teleop5.5
End1.4
blue by 5.4
4473
#18
16.90.5
13.814.3
Auto5.8
Teleop9.6
End1.5
Third
8421
#24
8.51.4
6.78.2
Auto4.3
Teleop2.9
End1.3
blue by 3.4
9055
#16
12.00.5
10.811.3
Auto6.4
Teleop4.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsEarned37%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed