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Red32
79074.4
615320.5
27126.2
Blue75
264826.3
545917.2
456427.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions346202040801003275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.50.1
15.615.5
Auto6.7
Teleop13.2
End0.7
blue by 6.7
27.22.5
20.723.2
Auto11.9
Teleop12.3
End3.0
Second
2712
#26
6.20.2
10.410.2
Auto1.8
Teleop4.5
End-0.0
blue by 20.1
26.31.5
20.021.5
Auto7.2
Teleop16.2
End2.9
Third
7907
#29
4.40.2
7.97.7
Auto1.7
Teleop1.7
End0.9
blue by 12.8
5459
#10
17.22.5
12.214.6
Auto8.1
Teleop8.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed