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Red33
80238.5
841018.3
34517.6
Blue90
172915.2
17212.6
5829.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305602040801003390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8410
#11
18.30.3
13.613.9
Auto6.6
Teleop8.9
End2.8
blue by 11.1
58
#4
29.40.8
24.825.6
Auto13.2
Teleop14.5
End1.7
Second
8023
#25
8.50.2
7.67.8
Auto2.8
Teleop4.9
End0.8
blue by 6.7
1729
#14
15.21.3
11.813.1
Auto7.1
Teleop7.3
End0.8
Third
3451
#28
7.60.3
8.99.3
Auto1.8
Teleop4.0
End1.8
blue by 5.0
172
#22
12.61.3
11.212.6
Auto5.5
Teleop5.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned