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Red41
905512.0
841018.3
84218.5
Blue26
34517.6
61618.8
172915.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353720304050604126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8410
#11
18.30.8
13.914.8
Auto6.6
Teleop8.9
End2.8
red by 3.1
1729
#14
15.20.7
13.112.5
Auto7.1
Teleop7.3
End0.8
Second
9055
#16
12.00.5
11.311.9
Auto6.4
Teleop4.9
End0.7
red by 3.2
6161
#19
8.80.7
9.58.8
Auto0.4
Teleop5.8
End2.6
Third
8421
#24
8.50.8
8.29.0
Auto4.3
Teleop2.9
End1.3
red by 0.9
3451
#28
7.60.7
9.38.6
Auto1.8
Teleop4.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed