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Red68
568735.6
447316.9
79074.4
Blue49
404121.6
615320.5
17212.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5844020801001201406849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.61.2
28.429.6
Auto9.0
Teleop24.9
End1.7
red by 14.0
21.60.2
13.113.2
Auto9.1
Teleop10.8
End1.7
Second
4473
#18
16.91.2
14.315.4
Auto5.8
Teleop9.6
End1.5
blue by 3.6
20.50.2
15.515.7
Auto6.7
Teleop13.2
End0.7
Third
7907
#29
4.42.0
7.79.7
Auto1.7
Teleop1.7
End0.9
blue by 8.2
172
#22
12.60.3
12.612.9
Auto5.5
Teleop5.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed