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Red80
5829.4
456427.2
68956.9
Blue52
52657.0
110021.1
13331.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5859405070808052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#4
29.41.1
25.626.7
Auto13.2
Teleop14.5
End1.7
blue by 1.6
133
#2
31.00.2
27.026.8
Auto10.8
Teleop13.4
End6.8
Second
27.21.8
23.225.0
Auto11.9
Teleop12.3
End3.0
red by 6.1
1100
#15
21.10.2
17.617.4
Auto7.5
Teleop11.6
End2.0
Third
6895
#17
6.91.8
5.67.5
Auto1.4
Teleop3.8
End1.7
Level
5265
#27
7.00.1
6.96.8
Auto3.9
Teleop2.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned45%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned23%Ensemble oddsMissed