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Red75
545917.2
97328.7
456427.2
Blue57
447316.9
264826.3
841018.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53632040801001207557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.21.2
26.327.5
Auto11.9
Teleop12.3
End3.0
red by 0.9
26.30.1
24.124.1
Auto7.2
Teleop16.2
End2.9
Second
5459
#10
17.21.0
15.816.8
Auto8.1
Teleop8.2
End0.9
blue by 1.1
8410
#11
18.30.1
16.917.0
Auto6.6
Teleop8.9
End2.8
Third
9732
#21
8.71.1
7.18.2
Auto5.5
Teleop3.2
End-0.0
blue by 8.3
4473
#18
16.90.1
15.115.1
Auto5.8
Teleop9.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsEarned72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed