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Red38
80238.5
16627.1
17212.6
Blue96
13331.0
84218.5
5829.4
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4475020601001203896

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#7
27.10.5
23.322.8
Auto8.1
Teleop16.9
End2.1
blue by 4.0
133
#2
31.02.2
28.130.3
Auto10.8
Teleop13.4
End6.8
Second
172
#22
12.60.6
14.013.3
Auto5.5
Teleop5.5
End1.7
blue by 16.8
58
#4
29.41.3
27.729.0
Auto13.2
Teleop14.5
End1.7
Third
8023
#25
8.50.4
6.76.3
Auto2.8
Teleop4.9
End0.8
Level
8421
#24
8.52.0
8.710.7
Auto4.3
Teleop2.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed64%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsEarned