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Red31
79074.4
172915.2
490613.4
Blue34
61618.8
910117.0
841018.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39492060803134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1729
#14
15.20.6
13.813.2
Auto7.1
Teleop7.3
End0.8
blue by 3.1
8410
#11
18.30.9
17.016.1
Auto6.6
Teleop8.9
End2.8
Second
4906
#20
13.40.4
14.414.1
Auto3.8
Teleop7.6
End2.0
blue by 3.6
9101
#12
17.00.8
16.215.4
Auto7.2
Teleop9.2
End0.7
Third
7907
#29
4.40.6
8.27.6
Auto1.7
Teleop1.7
End0.9
blue by 4.4
6161
#19
8.80.9
9.98.9
Auto0.4
Teleop5.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed47%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed