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Red54
84218.5
17212.6
456427.2
Blue66
80238.5
110021.1
404121.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594420801005466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.20.3
27.527.8
Auto11.9
Teleop12.3
End3.0
red by 5.6
21.61.6
15.617.2
Auto9.1
Teleop10.8
End1.7
Second
172
#22
12.60.2
13.313.6
Auto5.5
Teleop5.5
End1.7
blue by 8.5
1100
#15
21.12.5
19.822.3
Auto7.5
Teleop11.6
End2.0
Third
8421
#24
8.50.2
10.710.9
Auto4.3
Teleop2.9
End1.3
Level
8023
#25
8.51.6
6.37.9
Auto2.8
Teleop4.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsEarned20%Ensemble oddsMissed