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Red78
172915.2
568735.6
545917.2
Blue58
447316.9
13331.0
909612.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions716140801001207858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.61.0
33.334.3
Auto9.0
Teleop24.9
End1.7
red by 4.5
133
#2
31.00.1
30.330.2
Auto10.8
Teleop13.4
End6.8
Second
5459
#10
17.21.2
16.818.0
Auto8.1
Teleop8.2
End0.9
red by 0.2
4473
#18
16.90.0
15.115.1
Auto5.8
Teleop9.6
End1.5
Third
1729
#14
15.21.5
13.214.7
Auto7.1
Teleop7.3
End0.8
red by 3.2
9096
#23
12.00.1
11.111.1
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsEarned65%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed47%Ensemble oddsEarned