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Red71
632947.0
910117.0
490613.4
Blue29
79074.4
52657.0
456427.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88432060801001207129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.00.6
45.144.6
Auto14.2
Teleop29.7
End3.2
red by 19.8
27.21.5
27.826.3
Auto11.9
Teleop12.3
End3.0
Second
9101
#12
17.00.7
15.414.7
Auto7.2
Teleop9.2
End0.7
red by 10.0
5265
#27
7.01.0
9.18.1
Auto3.9
Teleop2.7
End0.4
Third
4906
#20
13.40.6
14.113.5
Auto3.8
Teleop7.6
End2.0
red by 9.0
7907
#29
4.41.5
7.66.1
Auto1.7
Teleop1.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsEarned38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
44%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed