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Red33
110021.1
79074.4
545917.2
Blue50
172915.2
447316.9
52657.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534102060801003350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1100
#15
21.11.5
21.620.1
Auto7.5
Teleop11.6
End2.0
red by 4.1
4473
#18
16.90.0
15.815.8
Auto5.8
Teleop9.6
End1.5
Second
5459
#10
17.21.3
19.318.0
Auto8.1
Teleop8.2
End0.9
red by 2.0
1729
#14
15.20.0
14.814.8
Auto7.1
Teleop7.3
End0.8
Third
7907
#29
4.41.5
5.94.4
Auto1.7
Teleop1.7
End0.9
blue by 2.6
5265
#27
7.00.0
7.97.9
Auto3.9
Teleop2.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed