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Red86
568735.6
909612.0
615320.5
Blue73
68956.9
16627.1
13331.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions697060657580858673

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.61.2
33.334.6
Auto9.0
Teleop24.9
End1.7
red by 4.5
133
#2
31.00.6
30.431.0
Auto10.8
Teleop13.4
End6.8
Second
20.51.2
18.619.8
Auto6.7
Teleop13.2
End0.7
blue by 6.5
166
#7
27.10.5
27.428.0
Auto8.1
Teleop16.9
End2.1
Third
9096
#23
12.01.4
10.612.0
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End1.1
red by 5.1
6895
#17
6.90.7
5.15.8
Auto1.4
Teleop3.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsEarned69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed57%Ensemble oddsEarned