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Red74
31926.4
568737.4
999910.4
Blue44
944320.7
99855.2
271333.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91680501001507444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.40.5
42.141.6
Auto8.7
Teleop25.8
End2.9
red by 3.5
33.91.9
30.528.6
Auto9.8
Teleop22.3
End1.8
Second
319
#7
26.40.5
25.625.1
Auto3.9
Teleop21.9
End0.7
red by 5.7
9443
#25
20.71.9
26.724.8
Auto10.5
Teleop7.7
End2.5
Third
10.40.8
11.610.8
Auto4.0
Teleop5.3
End1.0
red by 5.2
9985
#19
5.23.2
11.68.4
Auto4.0
Teleop0.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsEarned60%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsMissed