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Red29
615314.8
856714.9
264824.2
Blue44
431118.2
456427.5
97322.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7166204060801001202944

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
#10
24.22.3
27.925.6
Auto9.5
Teleop11.9
End2.9
blue by 3.3
27.51.1
31.830.7
Auto12.3
Teleop11.8
End3.5
Second
8567
#24
14.92.3
18.916.6
Auto5.3
Teleop10.3
End-0.6
blue by 3.3
18.21.1
19.918.8
Auto8.4
Teleop8.9
End0.9
Third
6153
#21
14.82.3
16.914.5
Auto5.1
Teleop9.6
End0.2
red by 12.8
9732
#18
2.01.1
8.87.7
Auto3.2
Teleop-2.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsMissed54%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsMissed