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Qual 112024 Summer Heat
Red77
581338.6
615314.8
447318.0
Blue59
80238.6
632936.8
99855.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions805302040601001201407759

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5813
#3
38.60.5
35.5→36.0
Auto14.7
Teleop20.7
End3.3
red by 1.9
6329
#13
36.80.3
40.2→40.5
Auto12.1
Teleop22.7
End2.0
Second
4473
#16Sur
18.00.5
19.3→19.8
Auto7.5
Teleop8.7
End1.8
red by 9.4
8023
#12Sur
8.60.3
6.8→7.1
Auto4.7
Teleop2.5
End1.4
Third
6153
#21
14.80.5
14.0→14.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.6
End0.2
red by 9.6
9985
#19
5.20.5
7.3→7.8
Auto4.0
Teleop0.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsEarned34%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed