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Red76
568737.4
97322.0
632847.8
Blue61
80238.6
99988.8
581338.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1054601507661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.9
46.645.6
Auto15.8
Teleop26.2
End5.8
red by 9.1
38.60.6
36.036.7
Auto14.7
Teleop20.7
End3.3
Second
37.40.9
38.437.5
Auto8.7
Teleop25.8
End2.9
red by 28.7
9998
#15
8.81.1
6.27.3
Auto5.5
Teleop3.1
End0.1
Third
9732
#18
2.00.9
3.02.1
Auto3.2
Teleop-2.0
End0.8
blue by 6.6
8023
#12
8.60.6
7.17.8
Auto4.7
Teleop2.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsMissed48%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
63%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed