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Qual 142024 Summer Heat
Red44
99834.7
13334.7
5820.2
Blue54
999910.4
856714.9
804619.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8042020601001201401604454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#11
34.72.3
38.3→35.9
Auto10.0
Teleop17.3
End7.5
red by 15.0
8046
#17
19.80.7
20.2→20.9
Auto9.4
Teleop9.5
End0.9
Second
58
#23
20.22.3
22.2→19.9
Auto9.2
Teleop9.0
End2.1
red by 5.3
8567
#24
14.90.7
14.1→14.8
Auto5.3
Teleop10.3
End-0.6
Third
9983
#27
4.73.9
8.6→4.7
Auto3.3
Teleop0.4
End0.8
blue by 5.7
9999
#4
10.41.2
8.7→9.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
64%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed